What Happened?
A number of stocks jumped in the afternoon session after comments from a key Federal Reserve official boosted hopes for an interest rate cut.
New York Federal Reserve President John Williams stated he sees “room for a further adjustment” in the near term, sparking a significant market rally. Following his remarks, the probability of the central bank cutting rates at its December meeting jumped from 39% to over 73%, according to the CME FedWatch tool. This positive sentiment provided relief to markets amid concerns over high valuations, particularly in AI-related stocks.
The stock market overreacts to news, and big price drops can present good opportunities to buy high-quality stocks.
Among others, the following stocks were impacted:
- Regional Banks company Stellar Bancorp (NYSE:STEL) jumped 4.8%. Is now the time to buy Stellar Bancorp? Access our full analysis report here, it’s free for active Edge members.
- Regional Banks company The Bancorp (NASDAQ:TBBK) jumped 4.8%. Is now the time to buy The Bancorp? Access our full analysis report here, it’s free for active Edge members.
- Regional Banks company Seacoast Banking (NASDAQ:SBCF) jumped 4.6%. Is now the time to buy Seacoast Banking? Access our full analysis report here, it’s free for active Edge members.
- Regional Banks company Provident Financial Services (NYSE:PFS) jumped 4.8%. Is now the time to buy Provident Financial Services? Access our full analysis report here, it’s free for active Edge members.
- Regional Banks company Live Oak Bancshares (NYSE:LOB) jumped 4.9%. Is now the time to buy Live Oak Bancshares? Access our full analysis report here, it’s free for active Edge members.
Zooming In On Live Oak Bancshares (LOB)
Live Oak Bancshares’s shares are somewhat volatile and have had 10 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.
The previous big move we wrote about was 28 days ago when the stock gained 2.8% on the news that a cooler-than-expected inflation report fueled optimism for potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. The September Consumer Price Index (CPI) report indicated a 3.0% year-over-year increase in prices, just below the 3.1% that economists had forecast. While still above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, investors interpreted this softer inflation reading as a sign that price pressures are easing. This development increases the likelihood that the central bank may move to cut interest rates. Lower interest rates can benefit banks by reducing their cost of funding and potentially stimulating loan demand from businesses and consumers. The positive sentiment was widespread, contributing to a broader market rally that saw the S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq all reach new record highs.
Live Oak Bancshares is down 20.3% since the beginning of the year, and at $30.71 per share, it is trading 36.9% below its 52-week high of $48.68 from November 2024. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Live Oak Bancshares’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $684.12.
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